Governance (Civ. Competence)

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See also:80,000 HoursLessWrongEA Forum

Effectiveness of governance systems in navigating AI transition, including regulatory capacity, policy adaptation, and international coordination mechanisms.

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What Affects Governance Effectiveness?

Causal factors affecting governance capacity for AI transition. AISI budgets ~$10-50M vs $100B+ industry spending.

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Scenarios Influenced

Scenario	Effect	Strength
AI Takeover	↓ Decreases	medium
Human-Caused Catastrophe	↓ Decreases	medium
Long-term Lock-in	—	strong

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