LongtermWiki Project

LongtermWiki Project

Planning and strategy documents for LongtermWiki — a strategic intelligence platform for AI safety prioritization.

Documents

Core Concepts

• Critical Insights — Framework for identifying high-value knowledge contributions

Vision & Strategy

• Vision Document — 2-person-year scope, architecture, milestones
• Strategy Brainstorm — Failure modes, definitions of success, strategic options

Research

• Similar Projects Analysis — Lessons from Arbital, Stampy, EA Forum Wiki, MIT AI Risk RepositoryProjectMIT AI Risk RepositoryThe MIT AI Risk Repository catalogs 1,700+ AI risks from 65+ frameworks into a searchable database with dual taxonomies (causal and domain-based). Updated quarterly since August 2024, it provides t...Quality: 40/100, and others

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Quick Summary

What is LongtermWiki?

A decision-support tool for funders, researchers, and policymakers asking: “Where should the next marginal dollar or researcher-hour go?”

Core components:

1. Knowledge Base (~30% effort) — Risks, interventions, models
2. Crux Graph (~25% effort) — Key uncertainties and dependencies
3. Worldview → Priority Mapping (~20% effort) — How assumptions lead to prioritizations
4. Disagreement Decomposition (~15% effort) — Turn fuzzy disagreements into resolvable questions
5. Living Document Infrastructure (~10% effort) — Staleness tracking, freshness

Key lessons from similar projects:

• Paid contributors > volunteer-only (EA Forum Wiki, Stampy fellowship)
• Narrow focus > comprehensive scope (Stampy FAQ vs Arbital)
• Platform integration > standalone wiki (LessWrongOrganizationLessWrongLessWrong is a rationality-focused community blog founded in 2009 that has influenced AI safety discourse, receiving $5M+ in funding and serving as the origin point for ~31% of EA survey respondent...Quality: 44/100/EAF wikis)
• Single editorial owner is essential