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AI Takeover

Scenario

AI Takeover

Model RoleCatastrophic Scenario
Primary DriversMisalignment Potential
Sub-scenariosGradual takeover, Rapid takeover

AI Takeover refers to scenarios where AI systems gain decisive control over human affairs, either displacing human decision-making or actively working against human interests. This is one of the primary pathways to existential catastrophe.

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85
Misalignment Potential
Core driver of takeover risk - misaligned AI is the primary mechanism
80
AI Capabilities
More capable AI = higher takeover potential if misaligned
55
Civilizational Competence
Better coordination and institutions can slow/prevent takeover
50
AI Uses
Recursive AI and broad deployment increase takeover paths
45
Transition Turbulence
Chaos and pressure lead to corners being cut on safety
40
AI Ownership
Concentrated ownership could help or hurt depending on actor
25
Misuse Potential
Primarily affects human catastrophe, not takeover

AI Takeover scenarios lead to:

  • Existential Catastrophe: If AI values are misaligned with humanity
  • Long-term Trajectory: Shapes the character of post-transition world