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AI Governance

AI governance encompasses policies, regulations, and institutional frameworks shaping AI development and deployment. The EU AI Act represents the first comprehensive legal framework, while AI Safety Institutes provide government technical capacity to evaluate advanced systems.

Racing dynamics pose a fundamental challenge: competitive pressure has shortened safety evaluation timelines by 40-60% since ChatGPT’s launch. International coordination faces hurdles despite progress like the Bletchley Declaration (28 countries) and Seoul AI Safety Commitments (16 companies), as voluntary frameworks lack binding enforcement.

MetricScoreNotes
Changeability55Policy windows exist but institutional inertia creates friction
X-risk Impact60Shapes incentives and constraints for AI development
Trajectory Impact75High impact through shaping norms and power distribution
Uncertainty50Political dynamics are somewhat predictable but volatile

Risks:

Responses:

Models:

Key Debates:

  • Regulate now with imperfect knowledge, or wait until risks are clearer?
  • Is meaningful international AI governance achievable, or will competition dominate?
  • Will governance be captured by industry interests?

Ratings

MetricScoreInterpretation
Changeability55/100Somewhat influenceable
X-risk Impact60/100Meaningful extinction risk
Trajectory Impact75/100Major effect on long-term welfare
Uncertainty50/100Moderate uncertainty in estimates