Civilizational Competence
Risk Factor
Civilizational Competence
Model RoleRoot Factor (Societal)
Key ParametersGovernance, Epistemics, Societal Resilience, Adaptability
Primary OutcomesLong-term Trajectory, Transition Smoothness
Overview
Section titled “Overview”Civilizational Competence refers to humanity’s collective ability to navigate the AI transition successfully. This encompasses governance capacity, epistemic health, and societal adaptability.
Key Dimensions
Section titled “Key Dimensions”Relationship to Scenarios
Section titled “Relationship to Scenarios”Civilizational Competence acts as a protective factor - higher competence decreases risk across multiple scenarios:
- AI Takeover: Better governance and oversight reduces probability
- Human-Caused Catastrophe: Better coordination prevents misuse escalation
- Long-term Lock-in: Shapes whether lock-in is beneficial or harmful