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Adoption (AI Capabilities)

Adoption measures how widely AI systems are integrated into economic activities, daily life, and critical infrastructure. This encompasses not just the deployment of AI tools but the depth of integration—from surface-level assistance to foundational dependence where systems and organizations cannot function without AI.

Broader adoption amplifies both the benefits of AI systems and the potential harms from failures, misalignment, or misuse. Deep adoption creates path dependencies that make reversal difficult—once critical infrastructure depends on AI systems, removing those systems becomes increasingly costly. Managing adoption trajectory while maintaining human capability and reversibility represents a key challenge.

MetricScoreNotes
Changeability40Policy and market forces can influence adoption speed
X-risk Impact45Affects vulnerability but not primary risk sources
Trajectory Impact70Shapes societal dependence and reversibility
Uncertainty40Adoption trends observable but future pace unclear

Related Risks:

Related Responses:

Related Models:

Key Debates:

  • How quickly will AI be integrated into critical systems, and is there time for adequate safeguards?
  • Does widespread AI adoption create dangerous dependencies and correlated failure modes?

Ratings

MetricScoreInterpretation
Changeability40/100Somewhat influenceable
X-risk Impact45/100Meaningful extinction risk
Trajectory Impact70/100Major effect on long-term welfare
Uncertainty40/100Moderate uncertainty in estimates